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Home Columns Diplomatic Speak

World Bank, Guyana; IMF Estimates 10-30% LOSS from WEAK Governance, Procurement and Corruption; SWOT: Corruption’s Impact on Guyana; and The Guyana Dollar Over 60 Years.

Admin by Admin
July 11, 2026
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That $1 BRIBE IS NOT  just $1. It IS a Theory Economists Call “LEAKAGE + MULTIPLIER DECAY.”   World Bank estimates 10-30% LOSS  from WEAK GOVERNANCE, PROCUREMENT and CORRUPTION. The WORLD BANK, IMF GRAPHIC  makes it VISIBLE  for Guyana: GYD 560B to GYD 1.74T lost 2021-2026 depending on the %.

CALL TO ACTION

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Hon. Dr. Ashni Kumar Singh, “Beyond GDP” Well-Being Dashboard alongside GDP, to include the Human Development Index (HDI), a Cost-of-Living Index, & Environmental Sustainability Indicator; AND The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, USA, GDP, HDI, GPI & BLI

Vision sets Direction. Plan sets the Path. Team provides Strength. Execution + Integrity delivers the FUTURE .

WITH DUE RESPECT, DO Let us make Guyana a Nation where $1 BUILDS, not BREAKS.

World Bank, IMF Estimates

Here IS how CORRUPTION  “IMPORTS POVERTY ” into a Nation and its People:

  1. THE THEORY: “Corruption Tax” on Every Dollar* 

Every dollar that LEAKS  is a dollar that never builds anything. But the damage compounds 3 WAYS:

  1. Direct Loss: The $1 BRIBE disappears. That is the simple THEFT.
  2. Multiplier Loss: In a Budget, $1 for schools, roads, or medicine is meant to multiply. A child learns → gets a job → pays taxes → funds more schools. A pothole fixed → no accident → worker shows up → GDP grows. When $1 leaks, you LOSE the original $1 + all future returns it would have generated.
  3. Trust Loss: Corruption signals “rules do NOT matter.” Investors pull back, honest workers quit, citizens stop reporting problems. The entire system slows down.

World Bank calls this 10-30% “DEADWEIGHT LOSS ”. It is not just STOLEN money. It is stolen FUTURES.

  1. APPLYING IT TO GUYANA –  3 EXAMPLES

The $1 bribe → Schools Children need

From the graphic: Education loses GYD 22.5B per year at 25% leakage. That’s ∼15,000 teachers’ retirement + benefits. 

Theory in action: $1 bribe on a school contract = 1 less desk, 1 less textbook, 1 less trained teacher. One child cannot read properly → earns 20% less over lifetime → pays less tax → next school gets less budget. The $1 BRIBE becomes a GENERATIONAL LOSS .

The pothole → Safety on the road 

LEAKAGE hits INFRASTRUCTURE  budgets FIRST. If 20% LEAKS  from roads budget, that is GYD 7.6B gone in 2024 alone.

Theory in action: $1 not paid to fill a pothole = suspension damage + tire blowout + accident. One accident = lost workdays + medical costs + trauma. Multiply by 1000 potholes. “Safety is imported out” and replaced with risk.

The $1 → Medicine that saves a child 

Graphic shows Health losing GYD 9B per year. That is 4000 Healthcare Workers’ Benefits. 

Theory in action: $1 bribe in procurement = 1 less vial of antibiotics, 1 LESS Oral Rehydration Solution (ORS ) packet. For a child with diarrhea, that $1 difference = life or death. Corruption literally imports mortality. A nation with medicine shortages imports GRIEF into every household.

  1. BOTTOM LINE FOR GUYANA

Corruption does not  just “STEAL MONEY ”. It IMPORTS 3 things:

  1. 1. Import of Scarcity: Less schools, worse roads, empty clinics
  2. 2. Import of Injustice: The poor pay the price. The RICH  can buy PRIVATE SOLUTIONS.
  3. 3. Import of Cynicism: When people see $1 bribes work, they stop believing Vision + Plan + Team + Resources + Execution can work.

The OPPOSITE is also true: Every dollar PROTECTED, every contract CLEANED, every KOKER  project delivered HONESTLY → imports PROSPERITY. A CHILD learns. A ROAD holds. A CHILD lives.

When Guyana RAISED its FLAG on May 26, 1966, the Guyana DOLLAR stood at G$1.71 to US$1. It was a currency BORN  with Independence – Strong, Pegged, and backed by confidence in Sugar, Bauxite, and Rice. That FIRST $1 note showed Black Bush Polder and Rice Harvesters: a NATION betting on its LAND, RESOURCES and its PEOPLE.

Over 60 years, the G$ story mirrors Guyana’s economic journey. Through the 1970s-80s, fixed exchange rates, Global oil shocks, and debt pressures pushed the dollar down.

The BIG shift came in the 1990s with Liberalization – the Currency floated, and by 2026 it trades near G$209 to US$1. The DOLLAR NOTE changed from RICE fields to KAIETEUR  Falls and the COAT of ARMS. Same $1, DIFFERENT meaning.

But DEVALUATION IS NOT JUST A NUMBER. At G$1.71, Imported Goods, Medicine/Pharmaceuticals, and School Books cost little.

At G$209, every import CARRIES the weight of EXCHANGE LOSS . That is why “LEAKAGE” HURTS MORE TODAY . A $1 bribe in 1966 cost the treasury $1.71. TODAY it costs $209 and is G$ in BUYING POWER LOST . Corruption imports SCARCITY at a HIGHER PRICE.

The LESSON of 60 years: a CURRENCY reflects execution + integrity. Oil, REDD+, and new sectors now give Guyana a chance to rewrite the next chapter. NOT by forcing the old peg, but by building PRODUCTIVITY, cutting WASTE, and making every G$ WORK.

From G$1.71 to G$209 in 60 years. The NEXT 60 years? That depends on how we PROTECT and GROW the DOLLAR we HAVE.

SWOT ANALYSIS: CORRUPTION & NATIONAL DEVELOPMENT IN GUYANA 

“How Leakage IMPORTS Poverty”

STRENGTHS – What Guyana has to fight back.

  1. Transparency Laws + Institutions: Integrity Commission, Procurement Act, Auditor General Office exist to audit + enforce.
  2. Active CIVIL society + MEDIA: Groups + outlets like GlobeSpan24x7 exposing numbers. Citizens are watching.
  3. Resource revenue: Oil + gas + REDD+ funds give Guyana fiscal space to invest if protected from leakage.
  4. Youth & Diaspora Energy: Young Guyanese demand accountability. Diaspora wants to invest, not just send remittances.

WEAKNESSES – Internal GAPS and CORRUPTION  exploits

  1. Procurement + Capacity gaps: Weak oversight, slow asset management in NDIA + other agencies. Creates openings for “$1 bribes”.
  2. Low Elevation + High Exposure: 90% GDP/population on coast means every leaked dollar in drainage = direct flood risk. No buffer.
  3. TRUST DEFICIT: When people see leakage, they stop reporting problems + stop paying taxes fully. System slows.
  4. SKILLS GAP: Shortage of engineers, auditors, IT staff to monitor contracts 24/7.

OPPORTUNITIES – How to turn the fight FOR CHANGE.

  1. World Bank + IMF data: 10-30% loss estimate gives clear target. “Save 20% = GYD 1.16T 2021-2026” is measurable.
  2. Digital tools: E-procurement, digital twins for drainage, public dashboards. Dutch partners can transfer this tech.
  3. Green Finance Linkage: REDD+, GCF, CDB funds now require anti-corruption safeguards. Use them to raise standards.
  4.  Community Monitoring: Train NDCs + parent-teacher groups to track school/road/clinic projects locally. “Many eyes” model.

THREATS – What happens when leakage continues.

  1. Imported Scarcity: World Bank data shows GYD 22.5B/yr lost from Education = 15,000 teachers’ benefits gone. GYD 9B/yr from Health = 4000 workers. GYD 7.35B/yr from Police/Roads.
  2. Imported Mortality + Risk: $1 bribe in medicine = child’s life. $1 bribe in roads = pothole = accident. Safety is imported out.
  3. Imported cynicism: “Why follow rules if bribes work?” Brain drains, investor exit, tax avoidance rise.
  4.  Climate Vulnerability: Leaked drainage dollars = flooded Georgetown. Climate + corruption = double disaster.

BOTTOM LINE

Corruption is not just theft. IT IS  an import TAX  on POVERTY , RISK , and LOST FUTURES   .

VISION   + Team + Plan Execution +Resources +LEADERSHIP + Integrity = the only way to export prosperity instead.

EXECUTION PRINCIPLE: Protect EVERY DOLLAR . A dollar saved from LEAKAGE = a DESK, a smooth well-constructed ROAD, a vial of MEDICINE/Pharmaceuticals.

The Guyana DOLLAR Over 60 Years: From Confidence to Resilience

The Guyana Dollar Over 60 Years: From Confidence to Resilience

When Guyana RAISED its FLAG on May 26, 1966, the Guyana DOLLAR stood at G$1.71 to US$1. It was a currency BORN  with Independence – Strong, Pegged, and backed by confidence in Sugar, Bauxite, and Rice. That FIRST $1 note showed Black Bush Polder and Rice Harvesters: a NATION betting on its LAND, RESOURCES and its PEOPLE.

Over 60 years, the G$ story mirrors Guyana’s economic journey. Through the 1970s-80s, fixed exchange rates, Global oil shocks, and debt pressures pushed the dollar down.

The BIG shift came in the 1990s with Liberalization – the Currency floated, and by 2026 it trades near G$209 to US$1. The DOLLAR NOTE changed from RICE fields to KAIETEUR  Falls and the COAT of ARMS. Same $1, DIFFERENT meaning.

But DEVALUATION IS NOT JUST A NUMBER. At G$1.71, Imported Goods, Medicine/Pharmaceuticals, and School Books cost little.

At G$209, every import CARRIES the weight of EXCHANGE LOSS . That is why “LEAKAGE” HURTS MORE TODAY . A $1 bribe in 1966 cost the treasury $1.71. TODAY it costs $209 and is G$ in BUYING POWER LOST . Corruption imports SCARCITY at a HIGHER PRICE.

The LESSON of 60 years: a CURRENCY reflects execution + integrity. Oil, REDD+, and new sectors now give Guyana a chance to rewrite the next chapter. NOT by forcing the old peg, but by building PRODUCTIVITY, cutting WASTE, and making every G$ WORK.

From G$1.71 to G$209 in 60 years. The NEXT 60 years? That depends on how we PROTECT and GROW the DOLLAR we HAVE.

2016 GUYANA. # 57 Member at IsDB.  Jakarta. Indonesia 15-19 May 2016.

With HE Dr. Bandar M. H. Hajjar (President IsDBank Group) 57 Countries.


Guyana the 57 th. Member in 2016. May 17, 2026,  was the  10 th. Anniversary of Guyana at Islamic Development Bank.  Jeddah.  Kingdom of Saudi Arabia

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    • Diplomatic Speak
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