By Mark DaCosta- Aubrey Norton’s firm stance on the leadership of any future coalition between the People’s National Congress Reform (PNCR) and other opposition parties is jeopardising the possibility of a united front for the 2025 general elections.
In recent statements, Norton, who leads the PNCR and serves as Chairman of the A Partnership for National Unity (APNU), made it clear that he expects to be the presidential candidate if his party forms an alliance for the upcoming elections. This declaration stands in stark contrast to the position of the Alliance For Change (AFC), a key ally in the APNU’s past coalitions, whose leadership has made it known that they do not view Norton as an automatic choice for the presidential race.
During a recent media interaction, Norton reiterated his belief that, as the largest party in the coalition, the PNCR is entitled to the presidential candidacy. “I will be the presidential candidate as determined by the PNC,” he asserted, further expressing that comments questioning this were “not useful” at the current stage. His remarks, however, seem to have struck a chord with those concerned about the future viability of the alliance.
Nigel Hughes, leader of the AFC, expressed an opposing view earlier last week, rejecting Norton’s stance outright. Hughes declared unequivocally that Norton would not be the presidential candidate, stating, “Absolutely not,” when questioned about the matter. According to Hughes, a transparent, objective process — including polls — would be necessary to determine the most suitable candidate for the presidency, rather than an automatic nomination based on party size or seniority.
This dispute over the presidential candidacy highlights the growing tensions between the two parties, who have struggled to rebuild their former relationship following the fallout from the 2020 elections. After the ruling People’s Progressive Party/Civic (PPP/C) secured a return to power in that election, the AFC chose not to renew its coalition agreement- which ended December 31, 2022-with APNU, leaving the two parties working together only in the opposition. Since then, the AFC has maintained its autonomy, even while engaging in talks with potential allies for the 2025 polls.
For the AFC, the main point of contention is the method by which a presidential candidate should be chosen. The party has indicated that it is open to further collaboration with APNU, but only if the selection process is based on clear, agreed-upon principles that prioritise fairness and inclusivity. Many critics within the AFC argue that a “top-down” approach, where a single party’s leader automatically claims the nomination, would not be in the best interest of the broader opposition movement.
Analysts and political commentators are weighing in, with some expressing doubts about Norton’s appeal beyond his party’s base. Many have noted that Norton’s leadership has failed to garner significant crossover support from voters who may not already align with the PNCR. His ability to unite a broad opposition coalition is being questioned, particularly in light of his controversial tenure and statements that have alienated some within his own ranks.
Despite the deepening rift, talks between the two parties continue under the framework of a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signed in the hopes of finding common ground. However, with the deadline for finalising any potential alliance set for March 31, the future of the relationship between the AFC and APNU hangs in the balance. Should the talks fail to result in a unified strategy, both parties have indicated that they may go into the elections separately, further fracturing the opposition vote.
As the clock ticks down to the critical deadline, the growing divide between Norton’s uncompromising position and the AFC’s call for a more inclusive leadership selection process could well determine whether the two parties join forces for the 2025 elections — or whether the fractured opposition will struggle to pose a viable challenge to the ruling PPP/C.