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Home Letters

“Oil, Power, and the Price of Permission: Why Guyana Must Choose Sovereignty Over System”

Admin by Admin
December 29, 2025
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Dear Editor,

Guyana stands at the crossroads of a changing world. For decades, the global economy revolved around one assumption: that the United States could use financial pressure to shape global behavior. But that era is ending.

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This year marked a turning point few thought possible. 

When Nigeria decided to sell oil in currencies other than the U.S. dollar—working through the new BRICS+ Southern Corridor Payment System—it shattered a fifty-year-old rule of global finance. For the first time, a major energy exporter openly bypassed the dollar and the Western-controlled payment networks behind it. Washington’s furious response, even hinting at military action, wasn’t about security. It was about control.

Nigeria’s move—and the failure of American coercion to stop it—exposed a truth long whispered in policy circles: the dollar’s “exorbitant privilege” now depends on compliance, not consensus. Those days are numbered.

Wealth Without Liquidity

Meanwhile, Guyana faces a paradox that strikes at the heart of this shifting order. We are the fastest-growing economy on Earth, but many of our businesses can’t access enough U.S. dollars to function smoothly. Investors struggle to repatriate profits. 

Importers can’t get basic foreign currency for goods.

How is that possible in a country drowning in oil wealth?

It’s the hidden cost of what can be called the “Hegemonic Tax.” Because we tie our economy—and our reserves—entirely to a currency controlled by others, our prosperity is hostage to policies made thousands of miles away. Our rigs may pump billions, but our financial autonomy remains constrained by someone else’s monetary rules.

Lessons from the New Order

The world’s emerging powers are approaching development through a different lens. The Western model, for all its talk of partnership, often comes with paperwork, conditions, and the implicit threat of sanctions.

The new approach—led by countries like Brazil, India, and China—relies less on dictating and more on building. China invests in ports and railways. India exports digital payment technology. Russia shares energy expertise. And Brazil, our closest neighbor, offers something rare in geopolitics: practical cooperation without ideological or military strings attached.

Brazil’s model of “Functional Diplomacy” provides Guyana with a real alternative. It’s not about choosing sides between superpowers; it’s about choosing what works.

A Blueprint for True Sovereignty

If Guyana wants to turn oil wealth into lasting independence, we must take deliberate steps toward financial and strategic self-reliance.

  • Adopt Regional Payment Systems. 

Immediate cooperation with Brazil on cross-border trade in local currencies could ease our dollar shortages overnight. Linking with Brazil’s Pix platform or the BRICS Local Currency Settlement (LCS) framework would allow our traders to move goods and capital without waiting for dollar approvals.

  • Build the Sovereign Logistics Chain. 

The proposed Brazil-Guyana Land Transport Corridor is more than an infrastructure project—it’s a lifeline. Connecting the Atlantic to the heart of South America would make Guyana a logistics hub and shield us from geopolitical chokepoints in global shipping.

  • Diversify the Natural Resource Fund. 

Storing all national reserves in dollar assets is no longer prudent. A balanced basket—featuring the Brazilian Real, Chinese Yuan, and even digital instruments—would reflect how global trade is actually evolving.

The Choice Before Us

Guyana stands where Nigeria stood a few years ago: rich in potential but constrained by inherited dependencies. The question now is not whether the unipolar world is ending—it already has. The question is whether we will keep acting as though it hasn’t.

Sovereignty, in this new age, is not a gift bestowed by powerful nations. It’s a decision—a commitment to self-determination supported by strategic partnerships, not subordination.

Guyana’s oil gives us leverage. Our position between the Caribbean and South America gives us reach. Our choices now will determine whether we remain a resource frontier or become a regional power.

The world has changed. The only permission we need is our own.

 

Sincerely 

Hemdutt Kumar.

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